BILL@ya1136
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one more simple angle for horse racing, when to bet beaten favorites.
a beaten favorite is a horse that had the most money bet on it and had the lowest odds in its last race and lost the race. the betting public , by making it the favorite, have ranked it is the best horse in the race, usually in a field of 8 to 9 horses. what has been observed in horse racing, is that losing favorites tend to 'bounce back' in their nest race and win more often than they should next time out. quite often, if they don't race very well when they are the favorite, the betting public tends not to bet as much on them next time out, and these horses 'bounce back' and win at very generous odds. so, when is it the best time to bet a losing favorite?? i am only going to give you the most basic and simple form of this method : the best time to bet on a losing favorite in its next race is WHEN IT IS THE FAVORITE AGAIN. that is the nuts and bolts of it. there are a few other factors, like, make sure the last race it was in, where it lost as the favorite is NOT the fasted race it has ever had or the fastest time in its last 6 starts. for some reason, horses that ran their fastest time in their last race do not win as often as they should next time out. weird, but true. a beaten favorite that becomes the favorite again in its next race has a staggering win rate than can approach 66 percent. these horses are almost certain to run at least third, a SHOW BET more than 90 percent of the time. the time factor helps and the horse having one of the top 5 drivers/riders helps but basically....he was the favorite last week and lost, tonight he is the favorite again......bet that sucker!!! this is a brutally strong angle.
for those of you that like horse racing, a very clever method of selecting high percentage winners that is a hidden factor
the beauty of this method is that it is invisible by looking at the racing programs past starts. for this method you need to see the chart results of the last race a horse was in. here is why, you can, for example see in the programs past performances that a horse finished second by half a length in its las race, and find another horse that also finished second by half a length, yet one of them is a vastly better bet than the other, regardless of time. let me explain first that horses that have won in their last race are more likely to win again than horses that did not win in their last race. similarily, horses that finished second have a better chance of winning than horses that did not do as good as second place. but not all wins or second places are the same. a horse that just manages to win by half a length will not do as well, in its next race, as a horse that wins by 6 lengths, or 2 lengths, etc. basically, horse that blow away the field by large margins tend to do much better in their next race than horses that win by close margins. sometimes, huge margins are concealed by the way the race programs past performances are presented. what if the program shows a horse won by half a length, but when you look at the chart of the race, you see that the winner and the second place horse were BOTH AHEAD of the rest of the horses by more than 6 lengths?? all the program will show you is that the horse won by half a length and you won't know that the winner and the second place horse obliterated the field. THIS is what you look for in the charts, but you focus only on second place finishers that were ahead of the rest of the field by 6 lengths or more. what the average race goer will see is a horse that finished second by half a length, what you WILL SEE AND KNOW is that this horse almost won the race by more than 6 lengths. we focus on betting second place finishers in this manner solely because horses that won their last race tend to get over bet and usually you will not get big odds on these horses. but second placers get less betting action and have much more generous odds. what are the odds a horse that finished second, WITHIN A LENGTH OF THE LEADER ( A CLOSE RACE ) and was 6 lengths or more ahead of the rest of the horses?? 40 percent. this is a staggering win rate, most favorites average 33 percent. and the beauty of this is that this information is hidden and not apparent on the daily racing form. for a 40 percent win rate you should be getting odds just above even money.....about 6-5, 7-5 odds......but these hidden second place finishers, which essentially are 6 length or more winners will go off at much bigger odds than those in their next race. you'll get 3-1, 4-1 even bigger odds than 10-1 on these horses the nest time they race and they will win 40 percent of the time. you're welcome. this will work both for harness racing and thoroughbred racing. ( the only draw back is you don't get many plays but do you want to bet a lot of races or make money? the few successful racevtrack players do not bet every race but wait for these solid plays and bet big when they see them. )
no man can save a maiden in distress ( why hollywood movies suck now )
for the last two decades at least, hollywood movies are terrible. actresses want STRONG FEMALE ROLES, however, all this has lead to is females playing the roles of men. i don't know if this is to appease some inferiority complex the actresses have but it is the same thing in every movie. SHE will have a hunky boyfriend/husband, but SHE is being stalked by some other evil man. FINAL SCENE: her boyfriend/husband attempts to protect her from the stalker but there is always a reason he fails and then she has to fend for herself and defeat the attacker. this is all you ever see now. a man is NOT ALLOWED to rescue a woman......ever!!!! it gets so monotonous after a while.....the attacker will have her pinned and is choking her......THEN THERE IS AN OBJECT JUST WITHIN REACH that she uses to hit the attacker!!! its the same thing in every movie, time after time. its nothing but the same old cliche scene over and over again. you can watch any movie or series and you will almost without fail find this template :
1) there will be a morning after sex scene in which SHE has to go to work and some hunky guy is in bed and acting like a hurt puppy because she is trying to get rid of him and shows no emotional attachment whatsoever. ( this is a complete role reversal....she is simply acting a male role )
2) a man is never allowed to rescue a maiden in distress. SHE will rescue him and be fully capable of beating up 5 -10 fully grown men at once
3) there absolutely HAS to be a dinner scene//( or any scene where they are eating ) that someone has to proclaim they are VEGAN/VEGETARIAN........
4) at some point, someone HAS to be gay.
this is all you ever see now, this is why hollywood sucks. i feel like i am being indoctrinated.....like i am watching one of those christian movies always quoting scripture.
and it seems odd that women embrace the roles and emulate men in all the ways that they complain about in the bahavior of men. SHE wants to be strong and macho, everything SHE complains about with men.
the sex therapist joke
a well known sex therapist was visited by a couple, the smiths, who were having problems with their sex life. upon being seated in his office the doctor told them " i stake my reputation on what i do. first, i will give both of you a physical examination, after which, if i think i can help you, i will tell you what to do. if it works, you pay me, if it doesn't work, you don't have to pay me."
after the physical examination the doctor tells the couple, " i think i can help you. here is what i want you to do....on your way home, stop by a grocery store and buy a box of donuts and a bag of grapes. go home, get naked and sit on the floor across cross each other with your legs apart. i want the wife to toss the donuts, like a ring toss, onto the husbands penis...when one lands like a ring toss, i want her to move on all fours, like a lion towards the husband and slowly eat that donut. when she is done, i want the husband to roll grapes across the floor at her vagina...when one enters, he is to move across the floor like a lions and lick out that grape and eat it. you both repeat this until you become very aroused and then you will have the best sex."
they bought the box of donuts and the bag of grapes and did as instructed. IT WORKED BEAUTIFULLY!! THE BEST SEX EVER.
their neighbours, the jones, heard about this and since they were having issues in the sexual department as well, decided to go see the same sex therapist.
the doctor told them the same thing, he would do a physical examination of both of them and after which if he thought he could help them he would tell them what to do. however, after the physical examination he told them " i don't think i can help you." they were upset, they begged him for advice. the doctor said "look, i state my reputation on this, i don't think i can help you." but they kept begging and pleading him for help. after a while, the doctor relented. he said " okay..okay..i'll try and help you....here is what i want you to do....on your way home, stop by a grocery store.....i want you to buy a box of CHERRIOS and a bag of ORANGES.....then i want you to......."
ok..need any further explanation with this one??
the joke about the young shy greek man
there is a curious story about a young greek man who was very shy. he was so shy, he had to date a young greek woman for over 6 months before having sex with her brother!!!